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The Daily Resource 8/20/08:
On the mend? Gold and silver advance for second straight day. Dollar driven down again. Producer prices are red hot, housing permits ice cold. Crude rallies. Pullback could be very temporary. Base metals show strength. Supply shortfalls dominate discussion. All this and more in The Daily Resource
Merk Market Outlook: The Dollar: Short-Term Rebalancing of Rebalancing of Expectations, Long Term Risk
Recent price action in the foreign exchange market in our estimation is a function of a short-term rebalancing in expectations of global growth and demand for commodities. When combined with the pause in the rate hike campaign at the European Central Bank and growing uncertainty regarding the prospects for economic growth in the United States dollar bulls that have been lurking in the shadows for the past several years have re-emerged with gusto over the past two weeks.
SET TO SOAR OR SWOON?
Despite a series of worrying news items last week, U.S. stock markets managed to deliver strong gains. Time and again, U.S. investors seem to turn lemons into lemonade by assuming each bad data point is an indication that the bottom is in. Is such behavior indicative of a stock market revival or simply evidence of a bear market rally?
I'm from the Government and I'm Here to Help
World markets have been watching with bated breath lately as the dynamic duo of Paulson-Bernanke has mounted the Hill (or has been mounted, as it were), on several occasions recently, soothing the markets, politicians, and public with calming words about liquidity, regulation, and “bottoms.”
Daily Pfennig 8/19/08: German Investor Confidence Rises!
Gold is oversold... Dollar index is overbought... RBA to cut rates... More tears to shed in housing... and much more, including today's currency prices, in this edition of the Daily Pfennig - Your Eye on World Currencies!
Canadian Market Roundup - Week of 8/8/08
Atac Tags At Rau, Hathor Adds Base Metals To Roughrider, Yamana Posts Earnings Drop, Goldsource Hits Again At Border, NovaGold Faces Lawsuit and more this week on the Canadian Markets.
The Maestro Won’t Face the Music
In an interview Thursday on CNBC, former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan cast his eyes on the charred landscape of the national real estate market and offered high-minded criticisms of the obvious excesses and irrationalities that brought on the devastation. Greenspan’s attitude was akin to a retired drug dealer lamenting the urban blight caused by rampant addiction.
The War for Oil
Some might say the U.S. now finds itself backed into in a foxhole when it comes to meeting its energy needs. Although we have the highest rates of energy consumption in the world, it’s no big news that our traditional sources of oil are either tapping out or have become “No Trespassing” zones, leaving us dependent on foreign sources for 70% of the oil needed to keep the lights on.
Technically Precious with Merv - 08/01/2008
Zig, zag, but more zag than zig. Very strong support at the $850 level and that may be where gold is headed. Will it hold there? Most commentators suggest that a new bull move is eminent. That is not yet in the charts so we’ll have to just keep on watching.
Where is the Economy Going in the Next Six Months?
As investors, the question we have to focus most of our attention on just now is what impact the credit crisis, the bursting housing bubble and the actions of the U.S. government will have on the economy and investment markets in the next six months.
Why the Mania Phase in Gold May Be Upon Us
That’s right: the long-awaited Mania stage in gold may be nigh. How can I make such a claim? After all, some have been screaming “It’s here! It’s here!” for months or even years. So I propose that instead of simply declaring that Mania time is near, I lay out the facts and see if you come to the same conclusion.
Securing the Insecure: U.S. Oil Imports
Calls for national security to the contrary, America's appetite for energy is stronger than its caution. In the last 15 years, the United States has steadily increased its dependence on imported crude oil by some 60%....
Scorched Earth Economy
Here at Casey Research we have been on the record as bearish on the outlook for the economy for some years now. Lest you think that is loose boasting, I can offer proof in Doug Casey’s August 2005 article, the dramatically titled “Profiting from the End of Western Civilization”.